Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an 85.5% implied probability for OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—internally codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, driven by escalating leaks from insiders over the past week indicating pretraining wrapped on March 24 at the Stargate facility, with post-training complete and benchmarks showing 40% gains over GPT-5.4 in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks. Sam Altman's March 24 comment of "a few weeks" fueled initial speculation, but recent X posts citing "reliable sources" pinpointing April 23 amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos have sharpened focus, pricing out earlier dates. While no official announcement confirms this, historical patterns suggest minor delays are possible before the end-of-April resolution window.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiGPT-5.5 piyasaya sürülme tarihi...?
GPT-5.5 piyasaya sürülme tarihi...?
23 Nisan 86%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek 3.2%
24 Nisan 2.3%
21 Nisan 2.2%
$125,313 Hac.
$125,313 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
17 Nisan
<1%
18 Nisan
<1%
19 Nisan
1%
20 Nisan
<1%
21 Nisan
2%
22 Nisan
1%
23 Nisan
86%
24 Nisan
2%
25 Nisan
<1%
26 Nisan
2%
27 Nisan
1%
28 Nisan
2%
29 Nisan
1%
30 Nisan
2%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek
3%
23 Nisan 86%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek 3.2%
24 Nisan 2.3%
21 Nisan 2.2%
$125,313 Hac.
$125,313 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
17 Nisan
$2,915 Hac.
<1%
18 Nisan
$2,130 Hac.
<1%
19 Nisan
$1,917 Hac.
1%
20 Nisan
$2,114 Hac.
<1%
21 Nisan
$3,078 Hac.
2%
22 Nisan
$4,789 Hac.
1%
23 Nisan
$26,027 Hac.
86%
24 Nisan
$2,277 Hac.
2%
25 Nisan
$1,552 Hac.
<1%
26 Nisan
$1,910 Hac.
2%
27 Nisan
$2,257 Hac.
1%
28 Nisan
$2,356 Hac.
2%
29 Nisan
$2,387 Hac.
1%
30 Nisan
$3,923 Hac.
2%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek
$6,378 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an 85.5% implied probability for OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—internally codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, driven by escalating leaks from insiders over the past week indicating pretraining wrapped on March 24 at the Stargate facility, with post-training complete and benchmarks showing 40% gains over GPT-5.4 in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks. Sam Altman's March 24 comment of "a few weeks" fueled initial speculation, but recent X posts citing "reliable sources" pinpointing April 23 amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos have sharpened focus, pricing out earlier dates. While no official announcement confirms this, historical patterns suggest minor delays are possible before the end-of-April resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Hacim
$125,313Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an 85.5% implied probability for OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—internally codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, driven by escalating leaks from insiders over the past week indicating pretraining wrapped on March 24 at the Stargate facility, with post-training complete and benchmarks showing 40% gains over GPT-5.4 in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks. Sam Altman's March 24 comment of "a few weeks" fueled initial speculation, but recent X posts citing "reliable sources" pinpointing April 23 amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos have sharpened focus, pricing out earlier dates. While no official announcement confirms this, historical patterns suggest minor delays are possible before the end-of-April resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$125,313Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an 85.5% implied probability for OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—internally codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, driven by escalating leaks from insiders over the past week indicating pretraining wrapped on March 24 at the Stargate facility, with post-training complete and benchmarks showing 40% gains over GPT-5.4 in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks. Sam Altman's March 24 comment of "a few weeks" fueled initial speculation, but recent X posts citing "reliable sources" pinpointing April 23 amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos have sharpened focus, pricing out earlier dates. While no official announcement confirms this, historical patterns suggest minor delays are possible before the end-of-April resolution window.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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