Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's strong position drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting Hawaii's Democratic trifecta and historical dominance—no Republican gubernatorial win since 2006—bolstered by Green's 56% approval rating tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. With candidate filing closing June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries, no challengers have declared on either side, and forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican entrant, a scandal eroding Green's support, or a national GOP wave, though Hawaii's incumbent re-election base rates favor continuity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
$1,944 Hac.
93%
Republican
$2,244 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's strong position drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting Hawaii's Democratic trifecta and historical dominance—no Republican gubernatorial win since 2006—bolstered by Green's 56% approval rating tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. With candidate filing closing June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries, no challengers have declared on either side, and forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican entrant, a scandal eroding Green's support, or a national GOP wave, though Hawaii's incumbent re-election base rates favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Hacim
$4,188Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's strong position drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting Hawaii's Democratic trifecta and historical dominance—no Republican gubernatorial win since 2006—bolstered by Green's 56% approval rating tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. With candidate filing closing June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries, no challengers have declared on either side, and forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican entrant, a scandal eroding Green's support, or a national GOP wave, though Hawaii's incumbent re-election base rates favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$4,188Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's strong position drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting Hawaii's Democratic trifecta and historical dominance—no Republican gubernatorial win since 2006—bolstered by Green's 56% approval rating tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. With candidate filing closing June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries, no challengers have declared on either side, and forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican entrant, a scandal eroding Green's support, or a national GOP wave, though Hawaii's incumbent re-election base rates favor continuity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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