Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 38% implied probability for 28°C, 33% for 29°C, and 24.5% for 27°C, reflects the tight clustering in latest hourly forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Climatempo, projecting a peak of 28°C between 1-4 PM local time at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Current morning observations show temperatures rising steadily from 16°C lows under a dominant subtropical ridge, limiting convective clouds and favoring daytime heating typical of mid-April climatology (historical highs averaging 26-28°C). Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud development potentially capping at 27°C, enhanced insolation pushing to 29°C if clearer, or sea breeze modulation; INMET updates and ECMWF ensembles later today may shift odds as boundary layer conditions evolve.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
28°C 40%
29°C 35%
27°C 22%
30°C 3.6%
$19,209 Hac.
$19,209 Hac.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
22%
28°C
40%
29°C
35%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
29°C 35%
27°C 22%
30°C 3.6%
$19,209 Hac.
$19,209 Hac.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
22%
28°C
40%
29°C
35%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 38% implied probability for 28°C, 33% for 29°C, and 24.5% for 27°C, reflects the tight clustering in latest hourly forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Climatempo, projecting a peak of 28°C between 1-4 PM local time at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Current morning observations show temperatures rising steadily from 16°C lows under a dominant subtropical ridge, limiting convective clouds and favoring daytime heating typical of mid-April climatology (historical highs averaging 26-28°C). Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud development potentially capping at 27°C, enhanced insolation pushing to 29°C if clearer, or sea breeze modulation; INMET updates and ECMWF ensembles later today may shift odds as boundary layer conditions evolve.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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