Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
24°C or below
$1,564 Hac.
<1%
25°C
$1,431 Hac.
1%
26°C
$994 Hac.
4%
27°C
$631 Hac.
10%
28°C
$646 Hac.
22%
29°C
$616 Hac.
27%
30°C
$525 Hac.
24%
31°C
$1,028 Hac.
12%
32°C
$302 Hac.
5%
33°C
$339 Hac.
2%
34°C or higher
$783 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Hacim
$8,749Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$8,749Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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