Latest INMET forecasts for São Paulo indicate a high of around 29°C on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligning with trader consensus favoring 29°C (30.5% implied probability) over 30°C (23.5%) as the leading outcomes. This positioning stems from recent clearing after early-April frontal rains, allowing moderate daytime heating in the subtropical autumn climate, where average April highs hover near 26°C. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—persistent cover capping at 28-29°C, while thinning could enable 30-31°C via enhanced solar insolation and urban heat island amplification at the resolution station, São Paulo-Guarulhos Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-31°C spread, with sea breeze timing as the pivotal uncertainty; fresh INMET guidance due April 16 could refine odds before tomorrow's observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 29%
30°C 23%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
30°C 23%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest INMET forecasts for São Paulo indicate a high of around 29°C on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligning with trader consensus favoring 29°C (30.5% implied probability) over 30°C (23.5%) as the leading outcomes. This positioning stems from recent clearing after early-April frontal rains, allowing moderate daytime heating in the subtropical autumn climate, where average April highs hover near 26°C. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—persistent cover capping at 28-29°C, while thinning could enable 30-31°C via enhanced solar insolation and urban heat island amplification at the resolution station, São Paulo-Guarulhos Airport. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-31°C spread, with sea breeze timing as the pivotal uncertainty; fresh INMET guidance due April 16 could refine odds before tomorrow's observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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