Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTrump 2026 'da kaç Altın Kart satacak?
Trump 2026 'da kaç Altın Kart satacak?
0 41%
1-100 18.9%
2,5k-5k 6.2%
1k-2.5k 6.0%
$136,914 Hac.
$136,914 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
0
41%
1-100
19%
101-1k
3%
1k-2.5k
6%
2,5k-5k
6%
5k-10k
4%
10.000-25.000
2%
25k-100k
4%
>100k
6%
0 41%
1-100 18.9%
2,5k-5k 6.2%
1k-2.5k 6.0%
$136,914 Hac.
$136,914 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
0
$26,528 Hac.
41%
1-100
$10,678 Hac.
19%
101-1k
$5,088 Hac.
3%
1k-2.5k
$7,596 Hac.
6%
2,5k-5k
$4,552 Hac.
6%
5k-10k
$6,276 Hac.
4%
10.000-25.000
$55,706 Hac.
2%
25k-100k
$5,371 Hac.
4%
>100k
$15,173 Hac.
6%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Hacim
$136,914Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$136,914Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent legal challenges and opacity around the program's rollout. Multiple lawsuits, including a new April 2026 filing by the Democracy Defenders Fund demanding Department of Homeland Security records on sales and vetting, question the executive order's authority to sell permanent residency for a $1 million Treasury contribution plus $15,000 USCIS fee. Despite 2025 launch hype and unverified claims of $1.3 billion in early sales, no confirmed issuances have surfaced by mid-April, with experts citing the high barrier, processing delays, and competition from EB-5 visas as dampening demand. Ongoing court battles heighten uncertainty for the full-year total.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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