Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability to win Maine's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, consecutive Democratic victories in 2018 and 2022 (Janet Mills at 55.7% last cycle), and a partisan lean favoring the party holding the governorship amid term limits barring Mills's reelection. Early primary polls show former Health Director Nirav Shah leading the five-candidate Democratic field (e.g., 31% in a March Impact Research survey, tying Troy Jackson after informed ballot tests), while the Republican primary appears fragmented with no dominant figure—Bobby Charles at 28% in UNH and McLaughlin polls—and several candidates withdrawing pre-filing deadline on March 16. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ranked-choice primaries set for June 9; odds could shift via GOP consolidation, national midterm environment, or scandals.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMaine Governor Election Winner
Maine Governor Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
10%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
$3,487 Hac.
90%
Republican
$3,053 Hac.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability to win Maine's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, consecutive Democratic victories in 2018 and 2022 (Janet Mills at 55.7% last cycle), and a partisan lean favoring the party holding the governorship amid term limits barring Mills's reelection. Early primary polls show former Health Director Nirav Shah leading the five-candidate Democratic field (e.g., 31% in a March Impact Research survey, tying Troy Jackson after informed ballot tests), while the Republican primary appears fragmented with no dominant figure—Bobby Charles at 28% in UNH and McLaughlin polls—and several candidates withdrawing pre-filing deadline on March 16. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ranked-choice primaries set for June 9; odds could shift via GOP consolidation, national midterm environment, or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Hacim
$6,540Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability to win Maine's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, consecutive Democratic victories in 2018 and 2022 (Janet Mills at 55.7% last cycle), and a partisan lean favoring the party holding the governorship amid term limits barring Mills's reelection. Early primary polls show former Health Director Nirav Shah leading the five-candidate Democratic field (e.g., 31% in a March Impact Research survey, tying Troy Jackson after informed ballot tests), while the Republican primary appears fragmented with no dominant figure—Bobby Charles at 28% in UNH and McLaughlin polls—and several candidates withdrawing pre-filing deadline on March 16. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ranked-choice primaries set for June 9; odds could shift via GOP consolidation, national midterm environment, or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$6,540Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 89.5% implied probability to win Maine's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, consecutive Democratic victories in 2018 and 2022 (Janet Mills at 55.7% last cycle), and a partisan lean favoring the party holding the governorship amid term limits barring Mills's reelection. Early primary polls show former Health Director Nirav Shah leading the five-candidate Democratic field (e.g., 31% in a March Impact Research survey, tying Troy Jackson after informed ballot tests), while the Republican primary appears fragmented with no dominant figure—Bobby Charles at 28% in UNH and McLaughlin polls—and several candidates withdrawing pre-filing deadline on March 16. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with ranked-choice primaries set for June 9; odds could shift via GOP consolidation, national midterm environment, or scandals.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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