Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey, seeking a third term amid a competitive primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton and others, dominates early polls with 35-45% support among likely Democratic voters, per recent Suffolk/Globe and UNH surveys through February 2026. Massachusetts' strong Democratic lean—electing just two Republican senators since 1961—and the absence of a prominent GOP contender reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, following the September 1 primaries. Upsets could arise from Markey's age-related health concerns, a primary-draining nominee, or a high-profile Republican emergence like a former statewide official, though historical base rates favor the party primary victor in this safe blue seat.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMassachusetts Senatosu Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Massachusetts Senatosu Seçimlerinin Kazananı
$12,304 Hac.
$12,304 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
95%
Cumhuriyetçi
5%
$12,304 Hac.
$12,304 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
$7,735 Hac.
95%
Cumhuriyetçi
$4,570 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey, seeking a third term amid a competitive primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton and others, dominates early polls with 35-45% support among likely Democratic voters, per recent Suffolk/Globe and UNH surveys through February 2026. Massachusetts' strong Democratic lean—electing just two Republican senators since 1961—and the absence of a prominent GOP contender reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, following the September 1 primaries. Upsets could arise from Markey's age-related health concerns, a primary-draining nominee, or a high-profile Republican emergence like a former statewide official, though historical base rates favor the party primary victor in this safe blue seat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Hacim
$12,304Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey, seeking a third term amid a competitive primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton and others, dominates early polls with 35-45% support among likely Democratic voters, per recent Suffolk/Globe and UNH surveys through February 2026. Massachusetts' strong Democratic lean—electing just two Republican senators since 1961—and the absence of a prominent GOP contender reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, following the September 1 primaries. Upsets could arise from Markey's age-related health concerns, a primary-draining nominee, or a high-profile Republican emergence like a former statewide official, though historical base rates favor the party primary victor in this safe blue seat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$12,304Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey, seeking a third term amid a competitive primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton and others, dominates early polls with 35-45% support among likely Democratic voters, per recent Suffolk/Globe and UNH surveys through February 2026. Massachusetts' strong Democratic lean—electing just two Republican senators since 1961—and the absence of a prominent GOP contender reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, following the September 1 primaries. Upsets could arise from Markey's age-related health concerns, a primary-draining nominee, or a high-profile Republican emergence like a former statewide official, though historical base rates favor the party primary victor in this safe blue seat.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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