Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic hold at 82% in the open Michigan Senate race, driven by recent polling averages showing top Democratic primary contenders—Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—holding narrow leads over likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers in general election matchups, such as Stevens +1.3% per RealClearPolling. A Data for Progress survey from early April revealed a statistical dead heat in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 4 contest, with all three at 22-23%. Rogers, Trump-endorsed and boosted by a $45 million GOP PAC commitment on April 6, remains competitive in this battleground state, but traders weigh Michigan's Democratic Senate incumbency history and uncertain midterm turnout against GOP pickup opportunities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMichigan Senatosu Seçimleri Kazananı
Michigan Senatosu Seçimleri Kazananı
$102,966 Hac.
$102,966 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
82%
Cumhuriyetçi
19%
$102,966 Hac.
$102,966 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
$77,852 Hac.
82%
Cumhuriyetçi
$25,114 Hac.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic hold at 82% in the open Michigan Senate race, driven by recent polling averages showing top Democratic primary contenders—Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—holding narrow leads over likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers in general election matchups, such as Stevens +1.3% per RealClearPolling. A Data for Progress survey from early April revealed a statistical dead heat in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 4 contest, with all three at 22-23%. Rogers, Trump-endorsed and boosted by a $45 million GOP PAC commitment on April 6, remains competitive in this battleground state, but traders weigh Michigan's Democratic Senate incumbency history and uncertain midterm turnout against GOP pickup opportunities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Hacim
$102,966Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic hold at 82% in the open Michigan Senate race, driven by recent polling averages showing top Democratic primary contenders—Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—holding narrow leads over likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers in general election matchups, such as Stevens +1.3% per RealClearPolling. A Data for Progress survey from early April revealed a statistical dead heat in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 4 contest, with all three at 22-23%. Rogers, Trump-endorsed and boosted by a $45 million GOP PAC commitment on April 6, remains competitive in this battleground state, but traders weigh Michigan's Democratic Senate incumbency history and uncertain midterm turnout against GOP pickup opportunities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$102,966Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic hold at 82% in the open Michigan Senate race, driven by recent polling averages showing top Democratic primary contenders—Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—holding narrow leads over likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers in general election matchups, such as Stevens +1.3% per RealClearPolling. A Data for Progress survey from early April revealed a statistical dead heat in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 4 contest, with all three at 22-23%. Rogers, Trump-endorsed and boosted by a $45 million GOP PAC commitment on April 6, remains competitive in this battleground state, but traders weigh Michigan's Democratic Senate incumbency history and uncertain midterm turnout against GOP pickup opportunities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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