Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, with 83% implied probability reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party leading by double digits. The latest INSA poll from March 17 places AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD's 26% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig, CDU at 12%, and others below 10%; prior Forsa (February) and Infratest dimap (January) surveys confirm AfD's 35-37% range. This positioning stems from voter concerns over migration policy, economic issues, and federal dissatisfaction in eastern Germany, where AfD has surged since 2021's 17% result, while SPD has lost ground from 40%. SPD's trailing 10.5% odds track its polling, with minimal support for CDU or smaller parties like Grüne, FDP, Linke, and BSW amid stable trends and no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMecklenburg - Vorpommern Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı
Mecklenburg - Vorpommern Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı
AfD 83%
SPD 11%
CDU 2.7%
FDP <1%
$199,632 Hac.
$199,632 Hac.
20 Eyl 2026
AfD
83%
SPD
11%
CDU
3%
FDP
1%
Linke
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 83%
SPD 11%
CDU 2.7%
FDP <1%
$199,632 Hac.
$199,632 Hac.
20 Eyl 2026
AfD
$5,711 Hac.
83%
SPD
$34,370 Hac.
11%
CDU
$26,439 Hac.
3%
FDP
$45,919 Hac.
1%
Linke
$7,218 Hac.
<1%
Grüne
$50,910 Hac.
<1%
BSW
$10,350 Hac.
<1%
FW
$18,715 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, with 83% implied probability reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party leading by double digits. The latest INSA poll from March 17 places AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD's 26% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig, CDU at 12%, and others below 10%; prior Forsa (February) and Infratest dimap (January) surveys confirm AfD's 35-37% range. This positioning stems from voter concerns over migration policy, economic issues, and federal dissatisfaction in eastern Germany, where AfD has surged since 2021's 17% result, while SPD has lost ground from 40%. SPD's trailing 10.5% odds track its polling, with minimal support for CDU or smaller parties like Grüne, FDP, Linke, and BSW amid stable trends and no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Hacim
$199,632Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, with 83% implied probability reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party leading by double digits. The latest INSA poll from March 17 places AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD's 26% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig, CDU at 12%, and others below 10%; prior Forsa (February) and Infratest dimap (January) surveys confirm AfD's 35-37% range. This positioning stems from voter concerns over migration policy, economic issues, and federal dissatisfaction in eastern Germany, where AfD has surged since 2021's 17% result, while SPD has lost ground from 40%. SPD's trailing 10.5% odds track its polling, with minimal support for CDU or smaller parties like Grüne, FDP, Linke, and BSW amid stable trends and no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Hacim
$199,632Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, with 83% implied probability reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party leading by double digits. The latest INSA poll from March 17 places AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD's 26% under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig, CDU at 12%, and others below 10%; prior Forsa (February) and Infratest dimap (January) surveys confirm AfD's 35-37% range. This positioning stems from voter concerns over migration policy, economic issues, and federal dissatisfaction in eastern Germany, where AfD has surged since 2021's 17% result, while SPD has lost ground from 40%. SPD's trailing 10.5% odds track its polling, with minimal support for CDU or smaller parties like Grüne, FDP, Linke, and BSW amid stable trends and no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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