Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 60.6% to secure second place in Peru's fragmented first-round presidential election held April 12-13, 2026, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga at 38.5%, as ongoing vote tabulation with over 90% of actas processed reveals Sánchez overtaking in rural southern strongholds like Cajamarca, which lagged behind urban Lima where Aliaga's support concentrated early. Keiko Fujimori leads first at around 17%, ensuring a June 7 runoff, but pre-election polls underestimated Sánchez's left-leaning base, validated by Ipsos exit polls projecting him second despite initial raw counts favoring Aliaga. Logistical delays from ballot shortages extended voting, prolonging uncertainty until official certification by the National Jury of Elections.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiRoberto Sánchez Palomino 59.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 39%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$2,826,297 Hac.
$2,826,297 Hac.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
59%
Rafael López Aliaga
39%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 59.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 39%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$2,826,297 Hac.
$2,826,297 Hac.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
59%
Rafael López Aliaga
39%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 60.6% to secure second place in Peru's fragmented first-round presidential election held April 12-13, 2026, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga at 38.5%, as ongoing vote tabulation with over 90% of actas processed reveals Sánchez overtaking in rural southern strongholds like Cajamarca, which lagged behind urban Lima where Aliaga's support concentrated early. Keiko Fujimori leads first at around 17%, ensuring a June 7 runoff, but pre-election polls underestimated Sánchez's left-leaning base, validated by Ipsos exit polls projecting him second despite initial raw counts favoring Aliaga. Logistical delays from ballot shortages extended voting, prolonging uncertainty until official certification by the National Jury of Elections.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular