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Dünya·Dünya Seçimleri

Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi

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Dünya·Dünya Seçimleri

Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi

PQ 51%

PLQ 37%

CAQ 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$430,016 Hac.

PQ 51%

PLQ 37%

CAQ 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$430,016 Hac.

Parti Québécois 2026 Quebec genel seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

PQ

$41,799 Hac.

51%

Quebec Liberal Partisi, 2026 Quebec genel seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

PLQ

$47,646 Hac.

37%

Coalition Avenir Québec, 2026 Quebec genel seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

CAQ

$42,762 Hac.

9%

Québec Muhafazakâr Partisi, 2026 Quebec genel seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

PCQ

$144,263 Hac.

1%

Parti vert du Québec, 2026 Quebec genel seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

PVQ

$105,358 Hac.

<1%

Québec solidaire 2026 Quebec genel seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

QS

$48,187 Hac.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 50.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, ahead of the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 37%, reflecting projections like 338Canada's that award PQ a seat plurality despite recent Léger and Pallas polls showing near-tied popular vote intentions around 32-33% each. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from four by-election victories since 2023 and steady regional strength in Quebec City and rural areas, while PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed in February 2026, has closed the gap amid federalist momentum. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% odds following Premier François Legault's January resignation amid scandals and low approval, with Christine Fréchette sworn in as new premier on April 15 after her leadership win, though polls keep CAQ under 15%. PCQ, QS, and PVQ trail far behind with minimal support.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Hacim
$430,016
Bitiş Tarihi
5 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 50.5% to secure the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, ahead of the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 37%, reflecting projections like 338Canada's that award PQ a seat plurality despite recent Léger and Pallas polls showing near-tied popular vote intentions around 32-33% each. PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon benefits from four by-election victories since 2023 and steady regional strength in Quebec City and rural areas, while PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard, acclaimed in February 2026, has closed the gap amid federalist momentum. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% odds following Premier François Legault's January resignation amid scandals and low approval, with Christine Fréchette sworn in as new premier on April 15 after her leadership win, though polls keep CAQ under 15%. PCQ, QS, and PVQ trail far behind with minimal support.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Hacim
$430,016
Bitiş Tarihi
5 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 6 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 51% ile "PQ", ardından 37% ile "PLQ" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 51¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 51% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi" toplam $430K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 2, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 6 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi" için mevcut favori 51% ile "PQ"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 51% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 37% ile "PLQ"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.