Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 91.6% in the open-seat Tennessee gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP trifecta, supermajority legislative control, and consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent presidential contests. U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's commanding lead in March 2026 Republican primary polls—56-58% over Rep. John Rose (7-14%) and state Rep. Monty Fritts (11%)—bolsters this positioning, with candidate filing deadlines passed on March 10 confirming a fragmented Democratic primary field lacking a standout contender. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. While GOP primary upsets, nominee scandals, or a national anti-incumbent wave could narrow odds before the August 6 primaries or November 3 general election, structural barriers favor the Republican nominee decisively.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner

Republican
91%

Democrat
7%

Republican
91%

Democrat
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 91.6% in the open-seat Tennessee gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP trifecta, supermajority legislative control, and consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent presidential contests. U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's commanding lead in March 2026 Republican primary polls—56-58% over Rep. John Rose (7-14%) and state Rep. Monty Fritts (11%)—bolsters this positioning, with candidate filing deadlines passed on March 10 confirming a fragmented Democratic primary field lacking a standout contender. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. While GOP primary upsets, nominee scandals, or a national anti-incumbent wave could narrow odds before the August 6 primaries or November 3 general election, structural barriers favor the Republican nominee decisively.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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