Recent reports indicate the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as disclosed in outlets like USA Today over the past 48 hours, amid President Trump's hints at further action against the island's regime. This escalation stems from the U.S. enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, cutting off Cuban oil imports from Venezuela after the January capture of Nicolás Maduro, exacerbating Havana's economic crisis. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel warned Thursday of possible U.S. aggression while affirming readiness to resist. Trader consensus reflects these signals of de-escalation barriers and regime weakness, though a senior U.S. general denied invasion preparations in March; no operations have occurred, with focus on diplomatic pressures and USSOUTHCOM oversight.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiABD'nin Küba'ya karşı askeri harekatı...?
ABD'nin Küba'ya karşı askeri harekatı...?
$3,116,355 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
31 Aralık
40%
$3,116,355 Hac.
31 Aralık
$937,250 Hac.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Recent reports indicate the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as disclosed in outlets like USA Today over the past 48 hours, amid President Trump's hints at further action against the island's regime. This escalation stems from the U.S. enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, cutting off Cuban oil imports from Venezuela after the January capture of Nicolás Maduro, exacerbating Havana's economic crisis. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel warned Thursday of possible U.S. aggression while affirming readiness to resist. Trader consensus reflects these signals of de-escalation barriers and regime weakness, though a senior U.S. general denied invasion preparations in March; no operations have occurred, with focus on diplomatic pressures and USSOUTHCOM oversight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Hacim
$3,116,355Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Recent reports indicate the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as disclosed in outlets like USA Today over the past 48 hours, amid President Trump's hints at further action against the island's regime. This escalation stems from the U.S. enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, cutting off Cuban oil imports from Venezuela after the January capture of Nicolás Maduro, exacerbating Havana's economic crisis. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel warned Thursday of possible U.S. aggression while affirming readiness to resist. Trader consensus reflects these signals of de-escalation barriers and regime weakness, though a senior U.S. general denied invasion preparations in March; no operations have occurred, with focus on diplomatic pressures and USSOUTHCOM oversight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Hacim
$3,116,355Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports indicate the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as disclosed in outlets like USA Today over the past 48 hours, amid President Trump's hints at further action against the island's regime. This escalation stems from the U.S. enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, cutting off Cuban oil imports from Venezuela after the January capture of Nicolás Maduro, exacerbating Havana's economic crisis. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel warned Thursday of possible U.S. aggression while affirming readiness to resist. Trader consensus reflects these signals of de-escalation barriers and regime weakness, though a senior U.S. general denied invasion preparations in March; no operations have occurred, with focus on diplomatic pressures and USSOUTHCOM oversight.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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