Recent opinion polls, including Matrize and Vote Vibe surveys released in early April 2026, project the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) securing a narrow majority of 140-180 seats with 43-46% vote share, ahead of BJP's 110-150 seats at 38-42%, driving trader consensus to price AITC victory at 57% implied probability amid a fiercely competitive West Bengal Legislative Assembly race set for April 23-29. AITC benefits from incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong regional appeal, welfare schemes, and candidate list finalized in March, while BJP gains traction in urban areas like Greater Kolkata through aggressive campaigning, including PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and critiques of governance. Voter roll finalization revealed deletions in tight 2021 marginals, heightening uncertainty; negligible odds for CPI(M), INC, and others reflect their marginal role in this bipolar contest.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBatı Bengal Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı
Batı Bengal Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı
AITC 57.1%
BJP 42.1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,180 Hac.
$1,883,180 Hac.
29 Nis 2026
AITC
57%
BJP
42%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 57.1%
BJP 42.1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,180 Hac.
$1,883,180 Hac.
29 Nis 2026
AITC
$99,600 Hac.
57%
BJP
$150,661 Hac.
42%
CPI
$792,255 Hac.
<1%
CPI(M)
$27,185 Hac.
<1%
INC
$21,707 Hac.
<1%
BGPM
$791,772 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, including Matrize and Vote Vibe surveys released in early April 2026, project the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) securing a narrow majority of 140-180 seats with 43-46% vote share, ahead of BJP's 110-150 seats at 38-42%, driving trader consensus to price AITC victory at 57% implied probability amid a fiercely competitive West Bengal Legislative Assembly race set for April 23-29. AITC benefits from incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong regional appeal, welfare schemes, and candidate list finalized in March, while BJP gains traction in urban areas like Greater Kolkata through aggressive campaigning, including PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and critiques of governance. Voter roll finalization revealed deletions in tight 2021 marginals, heightening uncertainty; negligible odds for CPI(M), INC, and others reflect their marginal role in this bipolar contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Hacim
$1,883,180Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, including Matrize and Vote Vibe surveys released in early April 2026, project the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) securing a narrow majority of 140-180 seats with 43-46% vote share, ahead of BJP's 110-150 seats at 38-42%, driving trader consensus to price AITC victory at 57% implied probability amid a fiercely competitive West Bengal Legislative Assembly race set for April 23-29. AITC benefits from incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong regional appeal, welfare schemes, and candidate list finalized in March, while BJP gains traction in urban areas like Greater Kolkata through aggressive campaigning, including PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and critiques of governance. Voter roll finalization revealed deletions in tight 2021 marginals, heightening uncertainty; negligible odds for CPI(M), INC, and others reflect their marginal role in this bipolar contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Hacim
$1,883,180Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including Matrize and Vote Vibe surveys released in early April 2026, project the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) securing a narrow majority of 140-180 seats with 43-46% vote share, ahead of BJP's 110-150 seats at 38-42%, driving trader consensus to price AITC victory at 57% implied probability amid a fiercely competitive West Bengal Legislative Assembly race set for April 23-29. AITC benefits from incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's strong regional appeal, welfare schemes, and candidate list finalized in March, while BJP gains traction in urban areas like Greater Kolkata through aggressive campaigning, including PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and critiques of governance. Voter roll finalization revealed deletions in tight 2021 marginals, heightening uncertainty; negligible odds for CPI(M), INC, and others reflect their marginal role in this bipolar contest.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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