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Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?

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Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?

Diğer 58.1%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 40%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

López Aliaga & Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$963,989 Hac.

Diğer 58.1%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 40%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

López Aliaga & Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$963,989 Hac.

Diğer

$237,800 Hac.

58%

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$316,062 Hac.

40%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$24,017 Hac.

<1%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$32,793 Hac.

<1%

López Chau & Fujimori

$67,800 Hac.

<1%

López Chau & Nieto

$16,487 Hac.

<1%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$24,242 Hac.

<1%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$36,670 Hac.

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$9,953 Hac.

<1%

Fujimori & Nieto

$198,248 Hac.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote count with about 17% as the National Elections Office (ONPE) processes over 90% of ballots amid logistical delays from extended voting and unsubstantiated fraud claims sparking protests. Second place remains a dead heat among Rafael López Aliaga (around 12-13%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and Jorge Nieto (both near 11-12%), with Alfonso López Chau and others trailing in the fragmented 35-candidate field. This volatility, echoing pre-election polls where Fujimori and López Aliaga frequently topped surveys but no frontrunner exceeded 18%, positions "Other" pairings as trader consensus at 57.6% implied probability, while their matchup trades at 40%, pending full certification ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Hacim
$963,989
Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote count with about 17% as the National Elections Office (ONPE) processes over 90% of ballots amid logistical delays from extended voting and unsubstantiated fraud claims sparking protests. Second place remains a dead heat among Rafael López Aliaga (around 12-13%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and Jorge Nieto (both near 11-12%), with Alfonso López Chau and others trailing in the fragmented 35-candidate field. This volatility, echoing pre-election polls where Fujimori and López Aliaga frequently topped surveys but no frontrunner exceeded 18%, positions "Other" pairings as trader consensus at 57.6% implied probability, while their matchup trades at 40%, pending full certification ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Hacim
$963,989
Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 10 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 58% ile "Diğer", ardından 40% ile "López Aliaga & Fujimori" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 58¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 58% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?" toplam $964K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 23, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 10 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?" için mevcut favori 58% ile "Diğer"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 58% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 40% ile "López Aliaga & Fujimori"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Hangi adaylar 2026 Peru cumhurbaşkanlığı ikinci turuna yükseldi?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.