Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 10?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 10?
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
77°F or below
$115 Обс.
3%
78-79°F
$411 Обс.
7%
80-81°F
$104 Обс.
19%
82-83°F
$98 Обс.
30%
84-85°F
$124 Обс.
22%
86-87°F
$1,511 Обс.
21%
88-89°F
$652 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$22 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$20 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$100 Обс.
1%
96°F or higher
$100 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,256Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,256Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Chicago on August 10, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southwesterly flow but tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts and climatological analogs from similar late-summer patterns support this range, with dew points near 70°F raising heat-index values while convective activity caps maxima below recent heat-wave levels. Trader consensus clusters around 82–87°F bins as model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and coverage; updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high observation at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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