Forecast models from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Jinan on September 18, driven by warm air advection under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's 98.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, as current conditions exceed the September climatological average high near 27°C. Official guidance shows consistent consensus across global and regional ensembles with minimal spread, though traders note that rapid afternoon cloud buildup or an unforecast frontal passage could shave a degree or two off the peak. Updated model runs and local observations overnight represent the next key data points for any potential shift.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on September 18?
26°C or higher 99%
25°C 9%
24°C 8%
22°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99%
25°C 9%
24°C 8%
22°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Jinan on September 18, driven by warm air advection under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's 98.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, as current conditions exceed the September climatological average high near 27°C. Official guidance shows consistent consensus across global and regional ensembles with minimal spread, though traders note that rapid afternoon cloud buildup or an unforecast frontal passage could shave a degree or two off the peak. Updated model runs and local observations overnight represent the next key data points for any potential shift.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання