Powell’s governor term runs through January 31, 2028, and he has stated he intends to remain on the Board after relinquishing the chair in May 2026, citing an ongoing inspector general probe into Fed headquarters renovations and concerns over institutional independence amid administration pressure. This stance has anchored trader expectations that removal before year-end remains unlikely absent formal “for cause” action or voluntary departure. Recent FOMC communications and confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chair have provided no new signals of an accelerated exit. Key near-term catalysts include any resolution of the headquarters investigation, potential Senate oversight hearings, and September employment or CPI releases that could intensify or ease political scrutiny on monetary policy independence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$432,422 Обс.
December 31
26%
$432,422 Обс.
December 31
26%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Powell’s governor term runs through January 31, 2028, and he has stated he intends to remain on the Board after relinquishing the chair in May 2026, citing an ongoing inspector general probe into Fed headquarters renovations and concerns over institutional independence amid administration pressure. This stance has anchored trader expectations that removal before year-end remains unlikely absent formal “for cause” action or voluntary departure. Recent FOMC communications and confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chair have provided no new signals of an accelerated exit. Key near-term catalysts include any resolution of the headquarters investigation, potential Senate oversight hearings, and September employment or CPI releases that could intensify or ease political scrutiny on monetary policy independence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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