Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, after he relinquished the chairmanship to Kevin Warsh in May 2026. Traders price a low probability of an earlier exit largely because Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board for an undetermined period to defend institutional independence following prior DOJ scrutiny of headquarters renovations and political pressure for lower rates. The probe has since been dropped, and Powell has maintained a low profile with no public signals of imminent departure. Market-implied odds reflect the high bar for removal absent cause under the Federal Reserve Act, limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or Senate confirmations, and the precedent of governors serving full staggered terms. Any shift would likely require new legal or political developments before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$447,657 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
13%
$447,657 Обс.
December 31
$161,066 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, after he relinquished the chairmanship to Kevin Warsh in May 2026. Traders price a low probability of an earlier exit largely because Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board for an undetermined period to defend institutional independence following prior DOJ scrutiny of headquarters renovations and political pressure for lower rates. The probe has since been dropped, and Powell has maintained a low profile with no public signals of imminent departure. Market-implied odds reflect the high bar for removal absent cause under the Federal Reserve Act, limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or Senate confirmations, and the precedent of governors serving full staggered terms. Any shift would likely require new legal or political developments before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$447,657Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, after he relinquished the chairmanship to Kevin Warsh in May 2026. Traders price a low probability of an earlier exit largely because Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board for an undetermined period to defend institutional independence following prior DOJ scrutiny of headquarters renovations and political pressure for lower rates. The probe has since been dropped, and Powell has maintained a low profile with no public signals of imminent departure. Market-implied odds reflect the high bar for removal absent cause under the Federal Reserve Act, limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or Senate confirmations, and the precedent of governors serving full staggered terms. Any shift would likely require new legal or political developments before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$447,657Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, after he relinquished the chairmanship to Kevin Warsh in May 2026. Traders price a low probability of an earlier exit largely because Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board for an undetermined period to defend institutional independence following prior DOJ scrutiny of headquarters renovations and political pressure for lower rates. The probe has since been dropped, and Powell has maintained a low profile with no public signals of imminent departure. Market-implied odds reflect the high bar for removal absent cause under the Federal Reserve Act, limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or Senate confirmations, and the precedent of governors serving full staggered terms. Any shift would likely require new legal or political developments before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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