Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17 centers on 13–16°C outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid an incoming frontal system. Partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers expected from western moisture transport will limit clear-sky heat loss compared to drier conditions, keeping minimums from dropping sharply below the seasonal baseline of roughly 12–14°C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs highlight variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity as the key differentiators between 13°C and 16°C scenarios, with higher humidity and light winds further moderating overnight lows. Fresh model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
14°C 27%
16°C 24%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C
24%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
4%
14°C 27%
16°C 24%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
9%
12°C
$0 Обс.
11%
13°C
$0 Обс.
22%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$0 Обс.
24%
17°C
$0 Обс.
19%
18°C
$0 Обс.
11%
19°C
$0 Обс.
7%
20°C
$0 Обс.
4%
21°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17 centers on 13–16°C outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid an incoming frontal system. Partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers expected from western moisture transport will limit clear-sky heat loss compared to drier conditions, keeping minimums from dropping sharply below the seasonal baseline of roughly 12–14°C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs highlight variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity as the key differentiators between 13°C and 16°C scenarios, with higher humidity and light winds further moderating overnight lows. Fresh model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17 centers on 13–16°C outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid an incoming frontal system. Partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers expected from western moisture transport will limit clear-sky heat loss compared to drier conditions, keeping minimums from dropping sharply below the seasonal baseline of roughly 12–14°C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs highlight variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity as the key differentiators between 13°C and 16°C scenarios, with higher humidity and light winds further moderating overnight lows. Fresh model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17 centers on 13–16°C outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid an incoming frontal system. Partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers expected from western moisture transport will limit clear-sky heat loss compared to drier conditions, keeping minimums from dropping sharply below the seasonal baseline of roughly 12–14°C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs highlight variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity as the key differentiators between 13°C and 16°C scenarios, with higher humidity and light winds further moderating overnight lows. Fresh model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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