Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate the overnight low for Austin on September 18 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. High dewpoints near 70°F limit radiational cooling despite calm conditions and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures above typical early-fall norms. Recent model runs show tight consensus with only minor variations tied to exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts. This setup supports the clustered market-implied odds around 70–75°F while leaving room for small adjustments if evening mixing or humidity trends deviate slightly from current projections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 18?
68-69°F 35%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 34%
72-73°F 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
67°F or below
11%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
4%
68-69°F 35%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 34%
72-73°F 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Обс.
11%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
35%
70-71°F
$21 Обс.
25%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
30%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
35%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
34%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
11%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
5%
86°F or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate the overnight low for Austin on September 18 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. High dewpoints near 70°F limit radiational cooling despite calm conditions and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures above typical early-fall norms. Recent model runs show tight consensus with only minor variations tied to exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts. This setup supports the clustered market-implied odds around 70–75°F while leaving room for small adjustments if evening mixing or humidity trends deviate slightly from current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$21Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate the overnight low for Austin on September 18 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. High dewpoints near 70°F limit radiational cooling despite calm conditions and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures above typical early-fall norms. Recent model runs show tight consensus with only minor variations tied to exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts. This setup supports the clustered market-implied odds around 70–75°F while leaving room for small adjustments if evening mixing or humidity trends deviate slightly from current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate the overnight low for Austin on September 18 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. High dewpoints near 70°F limit radiational cooling despite calm conditions and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures above typical early-fall norms. Recent model runs show tight consensus with only minor variations tied to exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts. This setup supports the clustered market-implied odds around 70–75°F while leaving room for small adjustments if evening mixing or humidity trends deviate slightly from current projections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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