Divergent ensemble forecasts and persistent rainfall patterns are driving the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes for Chongqing’s September 18 minimum temperature. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows light-to-moderate rain continuing overnight, with projected lows near 21°C under northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 21–22°C average minima, yet recent cold-air intrusions and model spread in steering patterns create realistic downside risk if heavier precipitation or clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily ahead of updated runs from the National Meteorological Center.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?
25°C or higher 94%
15°C or below 82%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
82%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
36%
21°C
30%
22°C
23%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
94%
25°C or higher 94%
15°C or below 82%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
82%
16°C
$0 Обс.
37%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
39%
19°C
$789 Обс.
15%
20°C
$137 Обс.
36%
21°C
$0 Обс.
30%
22°C
$0 Обс.
23%
23°C
$0 Обс.
38%
24°C
$0 Обс.
38%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent ensemble forecasts and persistent rainfall patterns are driving the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes for Chongqing’s September 18 minimum temperature. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows light-to-moderate rain continuing overnight, with projected lows near 21°C under northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 21–22°C average minima, yet recent cold-air intrusions and model spread in steering patterns create realistic downside risk if heavier precipitation or clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily ahead of updated runs from the National Meteorological Center.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$926Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent ensemble forecasts and persistent rainfall patterns are driving the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes for Chongqing’s September 18 minimum temperature. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows light-to-moderate rain continuing overnight, with projected lows near 21°C under northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 21–22°C average minima, yet recent cold-air intrusions and model spread in steering patterns create realistic downside risk if heavier precipitation or clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily ahead of updated runs from the National Meteorological Center.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$926Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Divergent ensemble forecasts and persistent rainfall patterns are driving the near-even market split between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below outcomes for Chongqing’s September 18 minimum temperature. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows light-to-moderate rain continuing overnight, with projected lows near 21°C under northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 21–22°C average minima, yet recent cold-air intrusions and model spread in steering patterns create realistic downside risk if heavier precipitation or clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily ahead of updated runs from the National Meteorological Center.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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