**Cloud cover, high humidity, and light variable winds from the north are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila on September 12, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and station data indicate evening and pre-dawn readings stabilizing in this narrow range amid scattered showers and overcast skies typical of the southwest monsoon season, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even market-implied odds for 25°C versus 26°C, aligns with this pattern of minimal temperature variance under persistent cloudiness and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 24°C or lower remain secondary absent stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. Official monitoring from PAGASA and updated model runs through the evening will determine the precise recorded low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 12?
21°C or below 94%
22°C 93%
23°C 90%
24°C 90%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
94%
22°C
93%
23°C
90%
24°C
90%
25°C
49%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 94%
22°C 93%
23°C 90%
24°C 90%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
22°C
$0 Обс.
93%
23°C
$47 Обс.
90%
24°C
$82 Обс.
90%
25°C
$6 Обс.
49%
26°C
$12 Обс.
51%
27°C
$173 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, high humidity, and light variable winds from the north are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila on September 12, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and station data indicate evening and pre-dawn readings stabilizing in this narrow range amid scattered showers and overcast skies typical of the southwest monsoon season, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even market-implied odds for 25°C versus 26°C, aligns with this pattern of minimal temperature variance under persistent cloudiness and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 24°C or lower remain secondary absent stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. Official monitoring from PAGASA and updated model runs through the evening will determine the precise recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$320Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, high humidity, and light variable winds from the north are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila on September 12, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and station data indicate evening and pre-dawn readings stabilizing in this narrow range amid scattered showers and overcast skies typical of the southwest monsoon season, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even market-implied odds for 25°C versus 26°C, aligns with this pattern of minimal temperature variance under persistent cloudiness and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 24°C or lower remain secondary absent stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. Official monitoring from PAGASA and updated model runs through the evening will determine the precise recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$320Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, high humidity, and light variable winds from the north are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila on September 12, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Multiple forecast models and station data indicate evening and pre-dawn readings stabilizing in this narrow range amid scattered showers and overcast skies typical of the southwest monsoon season, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even market-implied odds for 25°C versus 26°C, aligns with this pattern of minimal temperature variance under persistent cloudiness and urban heat retention, while probabilities for 24°C or lower remain secondary absent stronger northerly flow or clearer skies. Official monitoring from PAGASA and updated model runs through the evening will determine the precise recorded low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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