**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional outlooks, point to an overnight low in New York City on August 5, 2026, in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched leading market outcomes (72–73°F at 26%, 70–71°F at 23%, and 74–75°F at 14.5%).** Typical mid-summer conditions—elevated humidity, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal nighttime averages near 67–70°F. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 reinforce this range, with model consensus favoring minimal deviation from recent daily lows around 73–76°F. Slight differences among outcomes stem from forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, dew-point levels, and steering flow that could nudge the low by 1–2°F, creating the balanced trader sentiment reflected in the tight probabilities. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
72-73°F 26%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 14%
68-69°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
7%
72-73°F 26%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 14%
68-69°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
$37 Обс.
1%
58-59°F
$37 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$37 Обс.
3%
62-63°F
$17 Обс.
7%
64-65°F
$10 Обс.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
8%
68-69°F
$31 Обс.
13%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
23%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
26%
74-75°F
$11 Обс.
14%
76°F or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional outlooks, point to an overnight low in New York City on August 5, 2026, in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched leading market outcomes (72–73°F at 26%, 70–71°F at 23%, and 74–75°F at 14.5%).** Typical mid-summer conditions—elevated humidity, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal nighttime averages near 67–70°F. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 reinforce this range, with model consensus favoring minimal deviation from recent daily lows around 73–76°F. Slight differences among outcomes stem from forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, dew-point levels, and steering flow that could nudge the low by 1–2°F, creating the balanced trader sentiment reflected in the tight probabilities. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$181Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional outlooks, point to an overnight low in New York City on August 5, 2026, in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched leading market outcomes (72–73°F at 26%, 70–71°F at 23%, and 74–75°F at 14.5%).** Typical mid-summer conditions—elevated humidity, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal nighttime averages near 67–70°F. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 reinforce this range, with model consensus favoring minimal deviation from recent daily lows around 73–76°F. Slight differences among outcomes stem from forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, dew-point levels, and steering flow that could nudge the low by 1–2°F, creating the balanced trader sentiment reflected in the tight probabilities. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$181Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional outlooks, point to an overnight low in New York City on August 5, 2026, in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit, consistent with the closely matched leading market outcomes (72–73°F at 26%, 70–71°F at 23%, and 74–75°F at 14.5%).** Typical mid-summer conditions—elevated humidity, light winds, and possible partial cloud cover—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal nighttime averages near 67–70°F. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 reinforce this range, with model consensus favoring minimal deviation from recent daily lows around 73–76°F. Slight differences among outcomes stem from forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing, dew-point levels, and steering flow that could nudge the low by 1–2°F, creating the balanced trader sentiment reflected in the tight probabilities. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected overnight will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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