Forecast consensus from regional models places Buenos Aires' August 5 maximum near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities and reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Light easterly flow, modest cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation are expected to cap heating, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Recent observations show early-August maxima fluctuating 2–4 °C around the 15 °C climatological baseline, underscoring how small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture can tip the daily peak between 15 °C and 17 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
16°C 31%
17°C 26%
15°C 20%
18°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
9%
15°C
20%
16°C
31%
17°C
26%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 31%
17°C 26%
15°C 20%
18°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$10 Обс.
1%
13°C
$10 Обс.
8%
14°C
$17 Обс.
9%
15°C
$18 Обс.
20%
16°C
$0 Обс.
31%
17°C
$17 Обс.
26%
18°C
$26 Обс.
18%
19°C
$10 Обс.
3%
20°C
$22 Обс.
5%
21°C or higher
$21 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models places Buenos Aires' August 5 maximum near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities and reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Light easterly flow, modest cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation are expected to cap heating, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Recent observations show early-August maxima fluctuating 2–4 °C around the 15 °C climatological baseline, underscoring how small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture can tip the daily peak between 15 °C and 17 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$150Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models places Buenos Aires' August 5 maximum near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities and reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Light easterly flow, modest cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation are expected to cap heating, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Recent observations show early-August maxima fluctuating 2–4 °C around the 15 °C climatological baseline, underscoring how small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture can tip the daily peak between 15 °C and 17 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$150Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models places Buenos Aires' August 5 maximum near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities and reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Light easterly flow, modest cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation are expected to cap heating, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Recent observations show early-August maxima fluctuating 2–4 °C around the 15 °C climatological baseline, underscoring how small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture can tip the daily peak between 15 °C and 17 °C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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