Trader consensus around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s September 18 overnight low reflects northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under persistent cloud cover, with model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS ensembles showing minimal radiative cooling overnight. Light rain or drizzle in some runs further limits temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects and wind speeds near 10–14 mph introduce small variances that separate the 21°C and 22°C bins. Recent frontal passage and above-average September rainfall have kept baseline temperatures slightly below climatological norms, leaving room for minor forecast adjustments from updated evening soundings or localized observations before final JMA verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 18?
21°C 41%
20°C 6%
19°C 3%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
41%
22°C
36%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 6%
19°C 3%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$53 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$176 Обс.
1%
18°C
$456 Обс.
1%
19°C
$2,167 Обс.
3%
20°C
$1,349 Обс.
6%
21°C
$182 Обс.
41%
22°C
$181 Обс.
36%
23°C
$62 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$101 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s September 18 overnight low reflects northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under persistent cloud cover, with model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS ensembles showing minimal radiative cooling overnight. Light rain or drizzle in some runs further limits temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects and wind speeds near 10–14 mph introduce small variances that separate the 21°C and 22°C bins. Recent frontal passage and above-average September rainfall have kept baseline temperatures slightly below climatological norms, leaving room for minor forecast adjustments from updated evening soundings or localized observations before final JMA verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,832Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s September 18 overnight low reflects northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under persistent cloud cover, with model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS ensembles showing minimal radiative cooling overnight. Light rain or drizzle in some runs further limits temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects and wind speeds near 10–14 mph introduce small variances that separate the 21°C and 22°C bins. Recent frontal passage and above-average September rainfall have kept baseline temperatures slightly below climatological norms, leaving room for minor forecast adjustments from updated evening soundings or localized observations before final JMA verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,832Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 21–22°C for Tokyo’s September 18 overnight low reflects northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under persistent cloud cover, with model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS ensembles showing minimal radiative cooling overnight. Light rain or drizzle in some runs further limits temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects and wind speeds near 10–14 mph introduce small variances that separate the 21°C and 22°C bins. Recent frontal passage and above-average September rainfall have kept baseline temperatures slightly below climatological norms, leaving room for minor forecast adjustments from updated evening soundings or localized observations before final JMA verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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