Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
6°C 97%
5°C or below 16%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
16%
6°C
97%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
6°C 97%
5°C or below 16%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
$212 Обс.
16%
6°C
$323 Обс.
97%
7°C
$566 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$74 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$304 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$228 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$58 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$52 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
15°C or higher
$33 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,875Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,875Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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