Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 2 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow near 1018–1019 hPa. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while mild advection prevents deeper drops, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 13–14°C. Clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 13°C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds would hold minima near 15°C. Historical September averages near 10°C highlight the current warmer anomaly, with official station readings expected to resolve the market by early September 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
15°C 72%
13°C 61%
18°C 50%
10°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
44%
11°C
15%
12°C
28%
13°C
61%
14°C
41%
15°C
72%
16°C
17%
17°C
14%
18°C
50%
19°C or higher
14%
15°C 72%
13°C 61%
18°C 50%
10°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Обс.
5%
10°C
$69 Обс.
44%
11°C
$0 Обс.
15%
12°C
$0 Обс.
28%
13°C
$0 Обс.
61%
14°C
$0 Обс.
41%
15°C
$0 Обс.
72%
16°C
$15 Обс.
17%
17°C
$20 Обс.
14%
18°C
$5 Обс.
50%
19°C or higher
$5 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 2 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow near 1018–1019 hPa. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while mild advection prevents deeper drops, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 13–14°C. Clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 13°C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds would hold minima near 15°C. Historical September averages near 10°C highlight the current warmer anomaly, with official station readings expected to resolve the market by early September 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$119Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 2 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow near 1018–1019 hPa. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while mild advection prevents deeper drops, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 13–14°C. Clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 13°C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds would hold minima near 15°C. Historical September averages near 10°C highlight the current warmer anomaly, with official station readings expected to resolve the market by early September 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$119Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 14–15°C in Warsaw on September 2 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow near 1018–1019 hPa. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while mild advection prevents deeper drops, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 13–14°C. Clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 13°C, whereas increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds would hold minima near 15°C. Historical September averages near 10°C highlight the current warmer anomaly, with official station readings expected to resolve the market by early September 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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