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icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
Економ·Мексика

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
Економ·Мексика

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Ended: Apr 30

Jul 30

Ended: Apr 30

Jul 30

0.0-0.5% 100.0%

<0.0% <1%

0.5-1.0% <1%

1.0-1.5% <1%

Polymarket

$6,917 Обс.

0.0-0.5% 100.0%

<0.0% <1%

0.5-1.0% <1%

1.0-1.5% <1%

Polymarket

$6,917 Обс.

<0.0%

$877 Обс.

No

0.0-0.5%

$1,162 Обс.

Yes

0.5-1.0%

$997 Обс.

No

1.0-1.5%

$1,235 Обс.

No

1.5-2.0%

$1,320 Обс.

No

2.0-2.5%

$641 Обс.

No

>2.5%

$684 Обс.

No

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in the 0.0-0.5% range at 100% implied probability, driven by INEGI's preliminary April 30 release showing a 0.1% year-over-year expansion amid a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction—far below the 0.8% YoY consensus forecast. Weak January private consumption and investment declines, coupled with February's 0.3% annual IGAE drop, reflect cooling domestic demand, manufacturing softness, and U.S. trade policy uncertainties constraining nearshoring momentum after 2025's meager 0.8% full-year growth. Realistic challenges include upward revisions in INEGI's final Q2 data or stronger-than-expected services rebound, though fiscal constraints and Banxico's cautious 1.6% 2026 forecast limit upside risks.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,917
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in the 0.0-0.5% range at 100% implied probability, driven by INEGI's preliminary April 30 release showing a 0.1% year-over-year expansion amid a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction—far below the 0.8% YoY consensus forecast. Weak January private consumption and investment declines, coupled with February's 0.3% annual IGAE drop, reflect cooling domestic demand, manufacturing softness, and U.S. trade policy uncertainties constraining nearshoring momentum after 2025's meager 0.8% full-year growth. Realistic challenges include upward revisions in INEGI's final Q2 data or stronger-than-expected services rebound, though fiscal constraints and Banxico's cautious 1.6% 2026 forecast limit upside risks.

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,917
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «0.0-0.5%» з 100%, далі «<0.0%» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jan 30, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?» — «0.0-0.5%» з 100%. Наступний — «<0.0%» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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