Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Ankara on September 23, with daytime highs likely ranging 17–21°C amid increased cloud cover and westerly winds. This setup, driven by a passing cold front and higher humidity, favors suppressed maximum temperatures compared to recent days near 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows moderate consistency on precipitation timing but some spread in exact highs, contributing to the market's 50% implied probability on 23°C or above while assigning 20% odds to the 16–22°C range. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 23?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 23?
23°C or higher 42%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
37%
19°C
25%
20°C
27%
21°C
15%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
42%
23°C or higher 42%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
14°C
$0 KL.
4%
15°C
$0 KL.
4%
16°C
$0 KL.
38%
17°C
$0 KL.
38%
18°C
$0 KL.
37%
19°C
$0 KL.
25%
20°C
$0 KL.
27%
21°C
$0 KL.
15%
22°C
$0 KL.
21%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Ankara on September 23, with daytime highs likely ranging 17–21°C amid increased cloud cover and westerly winds. This setup, driven by a passing cold front and higher humidity, favors suppressed maximum temperatures compared to recent days near 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows moderate consistency on precipitation timing but some spread in exact highs, contributing to the market's 50% implied probability on 23°C or above while assigning 20% odds to the 16–22°C range. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Ankara on September 23, with daytime highs likely ranging 17–21°C amid increased cloud cover and westerly winds. This setup, driven by a passing cold front and higher humidity, favors suppressed maximum temperatures compared to recent days near 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows moderate consistency on precipitation timing but some spread in exact highs, contributing to the market's 50% implied probability on 23°C or above while assigning 20% odds to the 16–22°C range. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing showers and thunderstorms to Ankara on September 23, with daytime highs likely ranging 17–21°C amid increased cloud cover and westerly winds. This setup, driven by a passing cold front and higher humidity, favors suppressed maximum temperatures compared to recent days near 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows moderate consistency on precipitation timing but some spread in exact highs, contributing to the market's 50% implied probability on 23°C or above while assigning 20% odds to the 16–22°C range. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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