Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 15%
98-99°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
15%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
7%
112-113°F
5%
114°F or higher
2%
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 15%
98-99°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
$10 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$10 KL.
1%
98-99°F
$10 KL.
7%
100-101°F
$12 KL.
5%
102-103°F
$193 KL.
30%
104-105°F
$198 KL.
55%
106-107°F
$20 KL.
15%
108-109°F
$10 KL.
7%
110-111°F
$10 KL.
7%
112-113°F
$5 KL.
5%
114°F or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$488Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$488Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure are positioning Austin for another day of extreme heat on August 24, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicating a high near 102–105°F under sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations, including a 104°F reading at Austin Bergstrom on August 22, align with this trajectory amid minimal moisture and strong insolation typical of late-summer Texas climatology. These factors support the market's leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability, while limited chances for slight cooling or isolated convection keep secondary bins like 102–103°F and 106–107°F in play. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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