Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate maximum temperatures across Los Angeles on July 15, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to highs near 78–82°F at official stations. Recent forecast updates show a slight warming trend under strengthening high pressure, tempered by typical July marine influence that often caps coastal readings below inland peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 78–83°F because small shifts in boundary layer moisture, wind direction, or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, while resolution hinges on the official downtown Los Angeles observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 15?
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$78,838 KL.
$78,838 KL.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$78,838 KL.
$78,838 KL.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate maximum temperatures across Los Angeles on July 15, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to highs near 78–82°F at official stations. Recent forecast updates show a slight warming trend under strengthening high pressure, tempered by typical July marine influence that often caps coastal readings below inland peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 78–83°F because small shifts in boundary layer moisture, wind direction, or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, while resolution hinges on the official downtown Los Angeles observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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