Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors moderating Lucknow’s daytime maximum on August 30. Official IMD guidance and multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate persistent moist southwesterly flow with 60-75% rain probability, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daytime peaks of 33-34°C under similar convective regimes, while ensemble forecasts cluster around 30-32°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31-32°C (75.5% combined) reflect trader weighting of this consensus against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief clearing and a 33°C spike or further suppression below 31°C. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
32°C 52%
33°C or higher 26%
31°C 21%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
52%
33°C or higher
26%
32°C 52%
33°C or higher 26%
31°C 21%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$392 KL.
<1%
24°C
$392 KL.
<1%
25°C
$392 KL.
<1%
26°C
$236 KL.
<1%
27°C
$182 KL.
1%
28°C
$135 KL.
1%
29°C
$116 KL.
3%
30°C
$428 KL.
4%
31°C
$300 KL.
21%
32°C
$817 KL.
52%
33°C or higher
$456 KL.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors moderating Lucknow’s daytime maximum on August 30. Official IMD guidance and multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate persistent moist southwesterly flow with 60-75% rain probability, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daytime peaks of 33-34°C under similar convective regimes, while ensemble forecasts cluster around 30-32°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31-32°C (75.5% combined) reflect trader weighting of this consensus against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief clearing and a 33°C spike or further suppression below 31°C. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,846Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors moderating Lucknow’s daytime maximum on August 30. Official IMD guidance and multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate persistent moist southwesterly flow with 60-75% rain probability, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daytime peaks of 33-34°C under similar convective regimes, while ensemble forecasts cluster around 30-32°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31-32°C (75.5% combined) reflect trader weighting of this consensus against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief clearing and a 33°C spike or further suppression below 31°C. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,846Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors moderating Lucknow’s daytime maximum on August 30. Official IMD guidance and multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate persistent moist southwesterly flow with 60-75% rain probability, which limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daytime peaks of 33-34°C under similar convective regimes, while ensemble forecasts cluster around 30-32°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31-32°C (75.5% combined) reflect trader weighting of this consensus against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief clearing and a 33°C spike or further suppression below 31°C. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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