Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 KL.
$32,648 KL.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 KL.
$32,648 KL.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
$5,625 KL.
No
22°C
$2,145 KL.
No
23°C
$1,209 KL.
No
24°C
$1,799 KL.
No
25°C
$1,406 KL.
No
26°C
$1,038 KL.
No
27°C
$1,101 KL.
No
28°C
$1,122 KL.
No
29°C
$5,745 KL.
No
30°C
$4,022 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$7,438 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,648Ngày kết thúc
Apr 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$32,648Ngày kết thúc
Apr 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp