Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 KL.
$78,289 KL.
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 KL.
$78,289 KL.
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
$1,796 KL.
No
26°C
$2,607 KL.
No
27°C
$6,871 KL.
No
28°C
$6,032 KL.
No
29°C
$4,637 KL.
No
30°C
$14,022 KL.
Yes
31°C
$6,372 KL.
No
32°C
$17,278 KL.
No
33°C
$12,644 KL.
No
34°C
$3,597 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$2,432 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$78,289Ngày kết thúc
Apr 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$78,289Ngày kết thúc
Apr 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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