**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Ankara, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 14–15°C for September 11.** Recent observations show overnight lows of 11–15°C in the preceding days amid similar anticyclonic conditions, while Ankara’s ~890 m elevation and low humidity (often 40–55%) enhance cooling rates once solar heating ends. Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and Globalmeteo, indicate the temperature bottoming out around dawn (05:00–07:00 local) at roughly 14–15°C before rapid daytime warming to 30–31°C. The closely matched market probabilities for the extremes (19°C+ at 46.0% and ≤9°C at 42.5%) alongside clustered mid-range options (12–15°C near 19–23%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cooling magnitude, local station differences (e.g., Esenboga vs. urban sites), and potential minor model adjustments before resolution. Stable high-pressure steering patterns and absence of cloud or moisture advection limit upside or downside surprises, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered on typical early-September nocturnal minima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
9°C or below 86%
19°C or higher 67%
14°C 40%
15°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
86%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
23%
13°C
26%
14°C
40%
15°C
26%
16°C
16%
17°C
17%
18°C
9%
19°C or higher
67%
9°C or below 86%
19°C or higher 67%
14°C 40%
15°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
86%
10°C
$0 KL.
14%
11°C
$8 KL.
14%
12°C
$0 KL.
23%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$0 KL.
40%
15°C
$56 KL.
26%
16°C
$0 KL.
16%
17°C
$0 KL.
17%
18°C
$0 KL.
9%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Ankara, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 14–15°C for September 11.**
Recent observations show overnight lows of 11–15°C in the preceding days amid similar anticyclonic conditions, while Ankara’s ~890 m elevation and low humidity (often 40–55%) enhance cooling rates once solar heating ends. Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and Globalmeteo, indicate the temperature bottoming out around dawn (05:00–07:00 local) at roughly 14–15°C before rapid daytime warming to 30–31°C.
The closely matched market probabilities for the extremes (19°C+ at 46.0% and ≤9°C at 42.5%) alongside clustered mid-range options (12–15°C near 19–23%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cooling magnitude, local station differences (e.g., Esenboga vs. urban sites), and potential minor model adjustments before resolution. Stable high-pressure steering patterns and absence of cloud or moisture advection limit upside or downside surprises, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered on typical early-September nocturnal minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$64Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Ankara, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 14–15°C for September 11.**
Recent observations show overnight lows of 11–15°C in the preceding days amid similar anticyclonic conditions, while Ankara’s ~890 m elevation and low humidity (often 40–55%) enhance cooling rates once solar heating ends. Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and Globalmeteo, indicate the temperature bottoming out around dawn (05:00–07:00 local) at roughly 14–15°C before rapid daytime warming to 30–31°C.
The closely matched market probabilities for the extremes (19°C+ at 46.0% and ≤9°C at 42.5%) alongside clustered mid-range options (12–15°C near 19–23%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cooling magnitude, local station differences (e.g., Esenboga vs. urban sites), and potential minor model adjustments before resolution. Stable high-pressure steering patterns and absence of cloud or moisture advection limit upside or downside surprises, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered on typical early-September nocturnal minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$64Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Ankara, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 14–15°C for September 11.** Recent observations show overnight lows of 11–15°C in the preceding days amid similar anticyclonic conditions, while Ankara’s ~890 m elevation and low humidity (often 40–55%) enhance cooling rates once solar heating ends. Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and Globalmeteo, indicate the temperature bottoming out around dawn (05:00–07:00 local) at roughly 14–15°C before rapid daytime warming to 30–31°C. The closely matched market probabilities for the extremes (19°C+ at 46.0% and ≤9°C at 42.5%) alongside clustered mid-range options (12–15°C near 19–23%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cooling magnitude, local station differences (e.g., Esenboga vs. urban sites), and potential minor model adjustments before resolution. Stable high-pressure steering patterns and absence of cloud or moisture advection limit upside or downside surprises, keeping the implied distribution tightly centered on typical early-September nocturnal minima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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