Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate Milan overnight lows near 20–22°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology but tempered by recent convective cooling and variable dew points near 18–19°C. Trader consensus around 18–19°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, while the elevated 32.5% on 14°C or below captures tail risk from stronger nocturnal decoupling or measurement at a cooler suburban station. Short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from prior storms keeps probabilities tightly clustered between 16–22°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution will refine the minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
48%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
48%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate Milan overnight lows near 20–22°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology but tempered by recent convective cooling and variable dew points near 18–19°C. Trader consensus around 18–19°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, while the elevated 32.5% on 14°C or below captures tail risk from stronger nocturnal decoupling or measurement at a cooler suburban station. Short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from prior storms keeps probabilities tightly clustered between 16–22°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution will refine the minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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