Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 KL.
$275,325 KL.
Apr 16, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 KL.
$275,325 KL.
Apr 16, 2026
59°F or below
$4,264 KL.
No
60-61°F
$6,259 KL.
No
62-63°F
$5,200 KL.
No
64-65°F
$7,798 KL.
No
66-67°F
$8,330 KL.
No
68-69°F
$80,192 KL.
Yes
70-71°F
$3,671 KL.
No
72-73°F
$17,201 KL.
No
74-75°F
$6,688 KL.
No
76-77°F
$2,942 KL.
No
78°F or higher
$132,780 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$275,325Ngày kết thúc
Apr 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$275,325Ngày kết thúc
Apr 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp