Recent June 2026 PPI data, which printed at 5.5% year-over-year against a 6.2% consensus forecast after a downwardly revised 6.0% in May, has anchored trader expectations for further cooling in the July reading due August 13. Softer goods prices, including a 1.4% monthly drop in final demand goods, and contained core measures excluding food, energy, and trade have reinforced the disinflation narrative. With the Federal Reserve maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range at the July 29 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor markets and inflation still above the 2% goal, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or below 5.1%. Upcoming CPI and employment data releases remain key swing factors that could shift the aggregated trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≤5.1% 64%
5.2% 11%
5.4% 9.7%
5.3% 7.7%
$38,922 KL.
$38,922 KL.
≤5.1%
64%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
8%
5.4%
10%
5.5%
2%
5.6%
3%
5.7%
4%
5.8%
2%
5.9%
3%
6.0%+
7%
≤5.1% 64%
5.2% 11%
5.4% 9.7%
5.3% 7.7%
$38,922 KL.
$38,922 KL.
≤5.1%
64%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
8%
5.4%
10%
5.5%
2%
5.6%
3%
5.7%
4%
5.8%
2%
5.9%
3%
6.0%+
7%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 PPI data, which printed at 5.5% year-over-year against a 6.2% consensus forecast after a downwardly revised 6.0% in May, has anchored trader expectations for further cooling in the July reading due August 13. Softer goods prices, including a 1.4% monthly drop in final demand goods, and contained core measures excluding food, energy, and trade have reinforced the disinflation narrative. With the Federal Reserve maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range at the July 29 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor markets and inflation still above the 2% goal, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or below 5.1%. Upcoming CPI and employment data releases remain key swing factors that could shift the aggregated trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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