Incumbent Republican Robert Aderholt holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+33, and his long tenure representing the rural north-central counties since 1997. Aderholt secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 77.6% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek advanced from her primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited competitive polling. Aderholt’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his re-election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome in this low-visibility general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,101 交易量
$38,101 交易量
2026-11-02
羅伯特·阿德霍特（共和黨）
98%
阿曼達·普斯切克（民主黨）
<1%
$38,101 交易量
$38,101 交易量
2026-11-02
羅伯特·阿德霍特（共和黨）
$19,936 交易量
98%
阿曼達·普斯切克（民主黨）
$18,164 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Robert Aderholt holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+33, and his long tenure representing the rural north-central counties since 1997. Aderholt secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 77.6% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek advanced from her primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited competitive polling. Aderholt’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his re-election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome in this low-visibility general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$38,101結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Robert Aderholt holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+33, and his long tenure representing the rural north-central counties since 1997. Aderholt secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 77.6% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek advanced from her primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited competitive polling. Aderholt’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his re-election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome in this low-visibility general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,101結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETIncumbent Republican Robert Aderholt holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+33, and his long tenure representing the rural north-central counties since 1997. Aderholt secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with 77.6% of the vote against a single challenger, while Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek advanced from her primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited competitive polling. Aderholt’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his re-election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome in this low-visibility general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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