Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Ankara under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture, producing a tight consensus for a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C on August 20. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects small differences in model bias and boundary-layer parameterization rather than any major synoptic shift, with the slight edge to 32 °C consistent with observed August climatology of 32 °C mean highs at Ankara Esenboğa. No significant frontal passages or convective developments are indicated through the period, keeping resolution criteria centered on official Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements. Traders are therefore weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and any minor adjustments to dew-point or insolation forecasts that could tip the recorded peak by a single degree.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月20日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 44%
31°C 42%
30°C 10%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
42%
32°C
44%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
31°C 42%
30°C 10%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
26°C
$157 交易量
<1%
27°C
$149 交易量
<1%
28°C
$95 交易量
1%
29°C
$62 交易量
3%
30°C
$261 交易量
10%
31°C
$78 交易量
42%
32°C
$124 交易量
44%
33°C
$180 交易量
6%
34°C
$93 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Ankara under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture, producing a tight consensus for a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C on August 20. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects small differences in model bias and boundary-layer parameterization rather than any major synoptic shift, with the slight edge to 32 °C consistent with observed August climatology of 32 °C mean highs at Ankara Esenboğa. No significant frontal passages or convective developments are indicated through the period, keeping resolution criteria centered on official Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements. Traders are therefore weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and any minor adjustments to dew-point or insolation forecasts that could tip the recorded peak by a single degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,401結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Ankara under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture, producing a tight consensus for a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C on August 20. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects small differences in model bias and boundary-layer parameterization rather than any major synoptic shift, with the slight edge to 32 °C consistent with observed August climatology of 32 °C mean highs at Ankara Esenboğa. No significant frontal passages or convective developments are indicated through the period, keeping resolution criteria centered on official Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements. Traders are therefore weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and any minor adjustments to dew-point or insolation forecasts that could tip the recorded peak by a single degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,401結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Ankara under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture, producing a tight consensus for a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C on August 20. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects small differences in model bias and boundary-layer parameterization rather than any major synoptic shift, with the slight edge to 32 °C consistent with observed August climatology of 32 °C mean highs at Ankara Esenboğa. No significant frontal passages or convective developments are indicated through the period, keeping resolution criteria centered on official Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements. Traders are therefore weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and any minor adjustments to dew-point or insolation forecasts that could tip the recorded peak by a single degree.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions