Recent meteorological forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, under Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, show a consensus maximum temperature near 16°C driven by moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating, and stable high-pressure influence that suppresses stronger warming. This aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August highs of 15–17°C while accounting for day-to-day variability from transient cloud cover or light precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 16°C incorporates these model outputs alongside real-time observational updates from regional stations, with adjacent outcomes at 15°C and 17°C capturing remaining forecast spread. New surface observations and model runs expected later today will further refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
16°C 66%
15°C 18%
17°C 15%
14°C 3%
$17,730 交易量
$17,730 交易量
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
18%
16°C
66%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 18%
17°C 15%
14°C 3%
$17,730 交易量
$17,730 交易量
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
18%
16°C
66%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, under Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, show a consensus maximum temperature near 16°C driven by moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating, and stable high-pressure influence that suppresses stronger warming. This aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August highs of 15–17°C while accounting for day-to-day variability from transient cloud cover or light precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 16°C incorporates these model outputs alongside real-time observational updates from regional stations, with adjacent outcomes at 15°C and 17°C capturing remaining forecast spread. New surface observations and model runs expected later today will further refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions