Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24°C (27.5%) and 25°C (23.0%) for Buenos Aires' March 22 high, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 23-26°C amid lingering post-frontal cooling. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's update indicates partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds (10-15 km/h) capping daytime heating after recent cooler air advection, differentiating these from warmer 26-27°C outcomes that hinge on reduced cloud cover or delayed sea breeze onset. Urban heat island effects could nudge toward 25-26°C, but model spread highlights uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and shallow convection, against a March climatological average high of 27°C tempered by La Niña patterns. Key watch: afternoon soundings from SMN.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
24°C 28%
25°C 24%
26°C 19%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
24%
26°C
19%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 28%
25°C 24%
26°C 19%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
24%
26°C
19%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24°C (27.5%) and 25°C (23.0%) for Buenos Aires' March 22 high, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 23-26°C amid lingering post-frontal cooling. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's update indicates partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds (10-15 km/h) capping daytime heating after recent cooler air advection, differentiating these from warmer 26-27°C outcomes that hinge on reduced cloud cover or delayed sea breeze onset. Urban heat island effects could nudge toward 25-26°C, but model spread highlights uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and shallow convection, against a March climatological average high of 27°C tempered by La Niña patterns. Key watch: afternoon soundings from SMN.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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