The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on May 19?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 19?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$302 交易量
$302 交易量
2026-05-19
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$302 交易量
$302 交易量
2026-05-19
11°C or below
$5 交易量
No
12°C
$5 交易量
No
13°C
$5 交易量
No
14°C
$5 交易量
No
15°C
$5 交易量
No
16°C
$5 交易量
No
17°C
$37 交易量
No
18°C
$37 交易量
No
19°C
$72 交易量
No
20°C
$47 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$79 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$302結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$302結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The market-implied odds of 99.6% for a highest temperature of 21°C or higher in Busan on May 19 reflect official meteorological observations confirming a daily maximum well above that threshold under typical late-spring conditions. In mid-May, Busan experiences seasonal warming driven by increased solar insolation and southerly airflow across the Korean Peninsula, with historical climatological baselines from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing average highs routinely reaching 22–25°C. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover further supported daytime heating on the date in question, consistent with long-term May temperature distributions where values below 20°C are uncommon. Realistic scenarios that could alter this outcome remain limited to potential revisions in station data or localized microclimate effects, though current verified records indicate no such deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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