Current meteorological data and ensemble forecasts for Busan on September 10, 2026, converge on a daily maximum of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 15–20 km/h. Official monitoring and models such as GFS show afternoon temperatures peaking near this level after morning readings in the low 20s°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where highs average 26–27°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong observational and modeling consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or localized cooling that drops the peak below the threshold, though such deviations appear unlikely given stable synoptic conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日釜山的最高溫度？
9月10日釜山的最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$26,053 交易量
$26,053 交易量
2026-09-10
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$26,053 交易量
$26,053 交易量
2026-09-10
20°C或以下
$406 交易量
否
21°C
$373 交易量
否
22°C
$502 交易量
否
23°C
$306 交易量
否
24°C
$1,945 交易量
否
25°C
$4,159 交易量
否
26°C
$5,312 交易量
否
27°C
$6,579 交易量
是
28°C
$4,169 交易量
否
29°C
$539 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$1,763 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological data and ensemble forecasts for Busan on September 10, 2026, converge on a daily maximum of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 15–20 km/h. Official monitoring and models such as GFS show afternoon temperatures peaking near this level after morning readings in the low 20s°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where highs average 26–27°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong observational and modeling consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or localized cooling that drops the peak below the threshold, though such deviations appear unlikely given stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$26,053結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological data and ensemble forecasts for Busan on September 10, 2026, converge on a daily maximum of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 15–20 km/h. Official monitoring and models such as GFS show afternoon temperatures peaking near this level after morning readings in the low 20s°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where highs average 26–27°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong observational and modeling consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or localized cooling that drops the peak below the threshold, though such deviations appear unlikely given stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,053結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current meteorological data and ensemble forecasts for Busan on September 10, 2026, converge on a daily maximum of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 15–20 km/h. Official monitoring and models such as GFS show afternoon temperatures peaking near this level after morning readings in the low 20s°C, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where highs average 26–27°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong observational and modeling consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or localized cooling that drops the peak below the threshold, though such deviations appear unlikely given stable synoptic conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions