Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 3?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,517 交易量
$44,517 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,517 交易量
$44,517 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
$5,760 交易量
No
18°C
$5,197 交易量
No
19°C
$7,840 交易量
Yes
20°C
$5,424 交易量
No
21°C
$3,649 交易量
No
22°C
$4,697 交易量
No
23°C
$4,110 交易量
No
24°C
$1,827 交易量
No
25°C
$1,848 交易量
No
26°C
$2,228 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$1,938 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$44,517結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,517結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 19°C, driving the 100% implied probability as traders locked in the verified data released within the last 24 hours. Cloudy skies with light rain from evening hours, ahead of a cold front, limited solar insolation and kept daytime highs below the typical May average of around 20–22°C, aligning with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting mild conditions near 21°C maximum. This strong scientific evidence from automated weather station records leaves minimal room for revision, though an improbable data correction or station malfunction could theoretically challenge the outcome before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions