Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 28?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$66,452 交易量
$66,452 交易量
2026-04-28
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$66,452 交易量
$66,452 交易量
2026-04-28
17°C or below
$4,686 交易量
No
18°C
$6,508 交易量
No
19°C
$14,523 交易量
Yes
20°C
$6,728 交易量
No
21°C
$7,435 交易量
No
22°C
$4,919 交易量
No
23°C
$5,290 交易量
No
24°C
$5,483 交易量
No
25°C
$4,814 交易量
No
26°C
$2,515 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$3,552 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$66,452結束日期
2026-04-28市場開放時間
Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,452結束日期
2026-04-28市場開放時間
Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions