Ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration project Chongqing's March 27 high temperature clustering tightly around 20-22°C, driving the near-even implied probabilities (23% for 21°C, 22% for 20°C, 21% for 22°C) amid mild spring conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs building from 18-19°C earlier this week, fueled by southerly winds and urban heat island effects amplifying baselines by 1-2°C in the Yangtze River basin city. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—clearer skies favor 22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while incoming moisture could cap at 20°C—against historical March 27 averages of 19.5°C from 30-year normals, with traders eyeing final hourly updates from local stations for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
21°C 24%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 21%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
21%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
22%
23°C
16%
24°C
13%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 24%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 21%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
16%
19°C
21%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
22%
23°C
16%
24°C
13%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration project Chongqing's March 27 high temperature clustering tightly around 20-22°C, driving the near-even implied probabilities (23% for 21°C, 22% for 20°C, 21% for 22°C) amid mild spring conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs building from 18-19°C earlier this week, fueled by southerly winds and urban heat island effects amplifying baselines by 1-2°C in the Yangtze River basin city. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—clearer skies favor 22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while incoming moisture could cap at 20°C—against historical March 27 averages of 19.5°C from 30-year normals, with traders eyeing final hourly updates from local stations for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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