Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月15日丹佛的最高溫度？
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
華氏73度或以下
$147 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$85 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$321 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$156 交易量
9%
80-81°F
$90 交易量
30%
82-83°F
$113 交易量
36%
84-85°F
$373 交易量
16%
86-87°F
$179 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$75 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$102 交易量
<1%
92°F或以上
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,933結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,933結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETTraders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions