The Finnish Meteorological Institute's official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21.3°C on May 1, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring warmth with light winds and partial sunshine. This aligns precisely with the 21°C outcome bin, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as real-time data solidified post-event. Preceding ECMWF and GFS model runs had converged on 20–21°C peaks, matching climatological norms for early May in Helsinki, where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks, with final FMI validation expected imminently.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,534 交易量
$86,534 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,534 交易量
$86,534 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The Finnish Meteorological Institute's official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21.3°C on May 1, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring warmth with light winds and partial sunshine. This aligns precisely with the 21°C outcome bin, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as real-time data solidified post-event. Preceding ECMWF and GFS model runs had converged on 20–21°C peaks, matching climatological norms for early May in Helsinki, where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks, with final FMI validation expected imminently.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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